Welcome to POLITICO’s 2020 Transition Playbook, your information to probably the most consequential transfers of energy in American historical past.

‘TREAD CAREFULLY’ - How many House Democrats will Pelosi enable to enter the Biden administration? That’s the query agitating House Democrats as they stare down what’s more likely to be their slimmest majority in almost 20 years.

Democratic leaders and the Biden transition crew are having ongoing talks on the problem, and there’s an understanding, one former House Democratic management staffer stated, “that they need to tread carefully.”

Part of the priority is a flippable seat going Republican in a particular election. But even when Biden solely picks Democrats who characterize secure seats, House Speaker NANCY PELOSI might come perilously near shedding her majority till particular elections might be held, which traditionally has taken months. When RAHM EMANUEL resigned to develop into President BARACK OBAMA’s chief of employees in 2009, for example, the particular election to fill his House seat in Illinois wasn’t held till April 7. The election to fill HILDA SOLIS’ House seat in California after she grew to become Obama’s Labor secretary the identical 12 months didn’t occur till July 14.

If Biden plucks extra Democrats from the House for his administration, it will give the occasion nearly no room for error if a single lawmaker fell ailing or couldn’t vote for any motive. “We’re going to be trying to pass an agenda right away,” one House Democratic aide stated, “and the voting math is just going to be really hard.”

The announcement this week that Rep. CEDRIC RICHMOND (D-La.) can be becoming a member of the Biden White House, although not a shock, amped up the issues that extra Democrats may be headed for the exits.

“I keep saying, ‘How many votes can we lose?’” a second House aide stated.

DAVID WASSERMAN, the Cook Political Report’s House editor, estimated in an interview that Democrats will in the end have a majority of 222 or 223 seats, which might give Democrats a majority of solely three or 4 seats as soon as Richmond resigns. “There are only a certain number of escape hatches, and Cedric Richmond made his announcement when he did for that reason: He wanted to claim one of them,” Wasserman stated.

Foot on the brakes: A Biden official performed down the concept Biden can be making Cabinet selections based mostly on the composition of the House and Senate, emphasizing that the president-elect’s focus is on discovering the perfect expertise. While transition crew members “certainly are aware of the dynamics” in Congress, that has “not altered the thoughts on the potential nominees,” the official stated.

But the previous management staffer famous the Biden crew and House Democratic management are “in lockstep” over the issues. “The transition and the House are aligned. If they can’t get their agenda through the House, they’re nowhere.”

Are you in contact with Biden’s transition crew? Do you’re employed in an company getting ready (or not getting ready) for the switch of energy? Are you JEFF ZIENTS? We need to hear from you — and we’ll maintain you nameless: [E-Mail geschützt]. You may attain Alex, Theo, Megan, Alice and Daniel individually for those who desire. Do it, JEFF!

At the Queen Theatre in Wilmington, Del., as soon as once more on Wednesday for a digital roundtable with MARCELLA NUNEZ SMITH, one of many leaders of his Covid-19 advisory board, and frontline well being care employees from throughout the nation, together with a paramedic from Indiana, a college nurse from Ohio and an ICU nurse from Minnesota. He additionally spoke with Pelosi.

She met with unspecified advisers, in accordance with the transition.

RISING CLOUT OF INDIGENOUS AMERICANS COMES WITH POLICY IMPLICATIONS — Native Americans are poised to play a much more important — and maybe historic — function within the Biden administration than that of another earlier president. And their affect might result in fissures of their alliance with environmental activists, one other core constituency for Democrats, in Übereinstimmung mit ANNIE SNIDER.

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FIRST IN TRANSITION PLAYBOOK — A coalition of advocacy teams supporting minorities and monetary sector commerce associations are leaping to the protection of Biden Cabinet candidates with ties to Wall Street and company America, after an onslaught of progressive criticism.

In a letter despatched to the transition crew Wednesday that was obtained by POLITICO, the Association of African American Financial Advisers, the National Bankers Association, the National Urban League, UnidosUS and others observe “a stunning and complete lack of racial and ethnic diversity” amongst these “who have served in the top economic policy making positions in our country’s history.” And they encourage President-elect Biden “to draw your candidate pool from a variety of professional backgrounds including the business community and reject demands for a blanket exclusion on potential appointees with experience in the corporate sector or financial services field specifically."

They additionally referred to as on Biden to take different steps to advertise range in his Cabinet, together with interviewing a minimum of three candidates of colour for high roles.

MAYORKAS MAKING MOVES FOR DHS — Former Homeland Security Deputy Secretary ALEJANDRO MAYORKAS has been working it behind the scenes. Three Democratic officers with data of the conversations say that Mayorkas has been making the rounds with immigration, Latino voter teams and the Congressional Hispanic Caucus, which a lot of them interpreted as a part of an effort to construct assist to be Biden’s Homeland Security secretary. “He’s not just calling up and saying ‘Hey, I’m Latino. He’s doing it in a very policy-minded way,” stated one official.

Mayorkas, who declined to remark, is greatest identified amongst immigration activists for creating and implementing DACA, the Obama adminisration program granting younger undocumented immigrants authorized standing within the U.S. The officers say he has been speaking about potential DHS reforms to Citizenship and Immigration Services (which Mayorkas as soon as led), Immigration and Customs Enforcement, and Customs and Border Protection.

“We’re doing everything we can to make sure his name is lifted up and elevated,” stated JANET MURGUIA, the president of UnidosUS and a former advisor to President BILL CLINTON. “We’re working all of our contacts to weigh in strongly in support of him. It’s undeniable that he would meet the moment. We know for a fact that he will listen and work with the community. He’s experienced and has knowledge and can absolutely hit the ground running.”

MORE SCUTTLEBUTT: Unterdessen TIM SHRIVER, the chief of the Special Olympics International Board of Directors and the co-founder of the Collaborative for Academic, Social, and Emotional Learning, is within the combine to hitch Biden’s Education Department, as secretary or deputy secretary. Yes, sure, he’s additionally a Kennedy — brother to Maria and son of Sargent. “It’s not like he’s orchestrating anything but he’s been on phone calls and I know he’s been mentioned. He’s very excited about a President Biden administration,” stated a detailed buddy of Tim’s.

CABINET CAMPAIGN TRAIL: Two of the frontrunners to be secretary of Housing and Urban Development are showing on the similar occasion tomorrow, housing ace KATY O’DONNELL tells us. Former Virginia Secretary of Commerce MAURICE JONES and Atlanta Mayor KEISHA LANCE BOTTOMS will likely be talking with Bill Clinton about reasonably priced housing as a part of the Clinton Foundation’s “Inclusive Economic Recovery Series.” HIER ANMELDEN.

BIDEN’S SHERPAS — Biden has but to call any of his Cabinet picks, however he is already assembling the crew to assist them get confirmed subsequent 12 months. Alex had the unique on the affirmation “war room” the transition crew is assembling, which will likely be led by Obama’s former White House Communications Director JEN PSAKI.

Others on the crew embody: OLIVIA DALTON, a former Biden Senate aide; REEMA DODIN, Senate Democratic Whip Dick Durbin’s ground director (who’s additionally a part of the transition’s Senate outreach crew); ANDREW BATES, the Biden marketing campaign’s speedy response director; JORGE NERI, a senior adviser to the Biden marketing campaign; and SEAN SAVETT und SALONI SHARMA, who labored on Pete Buttigieg and Elizabeth Warren’s presidential campaigns, respectively.

NO SENATE? NO PROBLEM, PROGRESSIVES SAY — A co-founder of the progressive advocacy group Justice Democrats and a former high aide to Rep. ALEXANDRIA OCASIO-CORTEZ (D-N.Y.) have a putting message for Biden: Don’t fear in regards to the Georgia Senate races. While they need Democrats to prevail in Georgia and reclaim the Senate majority, they argued in a memo to the Biden transition on Tuesday first obtained by HOLLY OTTERBEIN that Biden can nonetheless accomplish nearly all of his “Build Back Better” plan to overtake the economic system if MITCH McCONNELL stays Senate majority chief.

ATTN. EMILY MURPHY — The Biden crew has studiously prevented going nuclear on the GSA, which continues to stall on acknowledging his victory, cautious of creating the company dig in its heels. On Wednesday, Biden provided one thing of an off-ramp for Murphy, the GSA administrator. The legislation, he famous, “doesn’t require that there be an absolute winner. It says the ‘apparent’ winner. The ‘apparent’ winner.” That framing would enable Murphy to begin the Biden transition with out herself formally declaring him the winner. But it’s unclear if she’s satisfied.

CLEAN UP ON AISLE ONE: DHS’ Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Director President CHRISTOPHER KREBS, grew to become the most recent Trump administration official to be unceremoniously sacked post-election, after the president fired him on Twitter Tuesday evening. Krebs oversaw the efforts to defend the 2018 and 2020 elections from cyber assaults, and most not too long ago established a web site referred to as “Rumor Control” in an effort to fight election misinformation.

Krebs’ firing prompted CISA’s chief of employees, EMILY EARLY, to ship a observe to staff, encouraging them to not “lose deal with the vital work we collectively undertake on behalf of the American folks,” regardless of the change in management. Lawmakers, nevertheless, weren’t reassured. ANDREW DESIDERIO und BURGESS EVERETT report that the transfer has renewed issues from lawmakers on either side of the aisle about how the president will spend his final months in workplace — making coverage selections which may be tough to reverse.

“I’ve got a big family and we do everything together. But there will only be three of us, because you can’t mix with the families…who live in a different place.”

– Biden, explaining that he is not going to be internet hosting Thanksgiving for his entire household, per the advice of the “docs who have been advising me.” Biden’s feedback got here a couple of hours after White House press secretary KAYLEIGH MCENANY bezeichnet als state tips recommending in opposition to large Thanksgiving dinners “Orwellian.”

Another Biden transition problem: How to cope with Covid within the White House (NBC News)

Dimon on being Treasury secretary: “I have never coveted the job ever” (Die New York Times)

Bernie Sanders displays on Trump transition, Democratic losses (WCAX Burlington)

Trump crew appears to field in Biden on international coverage by lighting too many fires to place out (CNN)